Research projects

International grants

• Raise excellence in R&S&I in HEI for widening countries (Unite.WIDENING), grant ID 101136765, HORIZON-WIDERA-2023-ACCESS-03 grant scheme, Universidade de Lisboa (Coordinator), PWr, Politecnico di Torino, TU Graz, TU Darmstadt, INP Grenoble, Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya, Aalto University, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, 2024-2028
  “Top grade researcher”-class investigator (among others): Rafał Weron
  [budget: 1 506 795 EUR (PWr), 4 998 467 EUR (Total)]
• PRobabilistic mid- and long-term prIce fORecasting In electriciTY markets (PRIORITY), grant DFG-NCN  2021/43/I/HS4/02578, OPUS LAP grant scheme, University Duisburg-Essen (Niemcy) and PWr, 2023-2026
  Principal Investigators: Rafał Weron (Wrocław), Florian Ziel (Essen)
  [budget: 922 200 PLN + 416 000 EUR]
• Investigating Market Microstructure and shOrt-term pRice forecasTing in intrA-day eLectricity markets (IMMORTAL), grant DFG-NCN 2016/23/G/HS4/01005, BEETHOVEN grant scheme, University Duisburg-Essen (Germany) and PWr, 2018-2023
  Principal Investigators: Ruediger Kiesel (Essen), Rafał Weron (Wrocław)
  [budget: 768 300 PLN + 239 000 EUR]
• Economic and social effects of energy sector reforms on sustainable economic growth, Croatian Science Foundation HRZZ Research Project IP-11-2013, no. 2203, University of Rijeka (Croatia) and PWr, 2014-2018
  Principal Investigator: Nela Vlahinic
  Partner Investigator: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 548 400 HRK]
• European research Centre of Network intelliGence for INnovation Enhancement – ENGINE, 7th Framework Programme FP7-REGPOT-2012-2013-1, grant agreement ID: 316097, W8 PWr (coordinator), 2013-2016
  Coordinator: Przemysław Kazienko
  Investigators (among others): Adam Kasperski, Rafał Weron
  [budget: 4 731 186.80 EUR]
• Managing the risk of price spikes, dependences and contagion effects in Australian electricity markets, Australian Research Council (ARC) Discovery Project DP1096326 Macquarie University (Sydney), Queensland University of Technology (Brisbane) and PWr, 2010-2012
  Principal Investigator: Stefan Trueck
  Partner Investigator: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 170 000 AUD]

National grants (NCN/NCBiR/MNiSW)

• Probabilistic predictions as inputs to statistical learning models: Price forecasting and decision support in markets for electricity, grant NCN 2023/49/N/HS4/02741, PRELUDIUM grant scheme, W8 PWr, 2024-2027
  Principal Investigator: Bartosz Uniejewski
  Research supervisor: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 113 460 PLN]
• MoSAic: Tetrahedral model to comprehend and enhance social acceptance of circular economy, grant NCN 2022/47/D/HS4/03444, SONATA grant scheme, W8 PWr, 2023-2026
  Principal Investigator: Yash Chawla
  [budget: 413 580 PLN]
• Crowd management in urban spaces: Developing a unified framework for simulating realistic human movement trajectories, grant NCN 2022/47/D/HS4/02576, SONATA grant scheme, W8 PWr, 2023-2026
  Principal Investigator: Pratik Mullick
  [budget: 366 080 PLN]
• Chances and directions for the development of smart energy communities in Poland based on empirical and simulation research, grant NCN 2022/45/B/HS4/03805, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, 2023-2026
  Principal Investigator: Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
  [budget: 730 780 PLN]
• Decision making under risk and uncertainty – concepts, methods and applications, grant NCN 2022/45/B/HS4/00355, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, 2023-2026
  Principal Investigator: Adam Kasperski
  [budget: 549 600 PLN]
• Are micro photovoltaic installations paving the way for electric cars in Poland? Agent-based modelling of diffusion of electric cars, grant NCN 2021/41/N/HS4/04445, PRELUDIUM grant scheme, W8 PWr, 2022-2025
  Principal Investigator: Karolina Bienias
  Research supervisor: David Ramsey
  Auxiliary supervisor: Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
  [budget: 145 180 PLN]
• Hybrid modeling of the need for specialized dental care for the prevention of dental caries in children using computer simulations, grant NCN 2021/41/N/HS4/03282, PRELUDIUM grant scheme, W8 PWr, 2022-2024
  Principal Investigator: Maria Hajłasz
  Research supervisor: Bożena Mielczarek
  [budget: 79 900 PLN]
• Does using of text mining in bankruptcy prediction models pay off? An early warning system development, grant NCN 2020/39/D/HS4/02384, SONATA grant scheme, W8 PWr, 2021-2024
  Principal Investigator: Sebastian Tomczak
  [budget: 305 440 PLN]
• Non-parametric approaches for the performance measurement of units with complex internal structure, grant NCN 2020/37/B/HS4/03125, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2021-2025
  Principal Investigator: Dimitrios Sotiros
  [budget: 496 800 PLN]
•  Decision support for participants of the electricity market: point and probabilistic forecasting with the use of simulation methods and statistical learning, DIAMOND GRANT 0027/DIA/2020/49 MNiSW, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2020-2024
  Principal Investigator: Weronika Nitka
  Research supervisor: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 180 000 PLN]
•  Loss function in forecasting models and the financial result of an energy company, DIAMOND GRANT 0009/DIA/2020/49, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2020-2024
  Principal Investigator: Tomasz Serafin
  Research supervisor: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 180 000 PLN]
• Short-term forecasting of intraday electricity prices, grant NCN 2019/34/E/HS4/00060, SONATA BIS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2020-2025
  Principal Investigator: Katarzyna Maciejowska
  [budget: 1 542 000 PLN]
• Deep learning in point, probabilistic and ensemble forecasting of electricity prices, DIAMOND GRANT 0219/DIA/2019/48 MNiSW, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2019-2023
  Principal Investigator: Grzegorz Marcjasz
  Research supervisor: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 177 775 PLN]
• Forecasting wholesale electricity prices for risk management purposes: Using regularization and forecast averaging, DIAMOND GRANT 0199/DIA/2019/48 MNiSW, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2019-2023
  Principal Investigator: Bartosz Uniejewski
  Research supervisor: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 180 000 PLN]
• Crossing Frontiers in electricity prIce forecasTing (CrossFIT), grant NCN 2018/30/A/HS4/00444, MAESTRO grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2019-2026
  Principal Investigator: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 2 961 200 PLN]
• Logistics, trade and consumer decisions in the age of the Internet, grant NCN 2018/29/B/HS4/02857, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2019-2023
  Principal Investigator: David Ramsey
  Investigators (among others): Yash Chawla, Grzegorz Chodak, Anna Lamek, Adam Wasilewski
  [budget: 491 200 PLN]
• Diffusion of Alternative Fuel passenger vehicles in Poland: empirical survey of consumers’ preferences and agent-based modeling of market peNEtration (DAFNE), grant NCN 2018/29/B/HS4/00069, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2019-2023
  Principal Investigator: Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
  Investigators (among others): Anna Skowrońska-Szmer
  [budget: 473 200 PLN]
• Discrete optimization problems – models and algorithms, grant NCN 2017/25/B/ST6/00486, OPUS grant scheme, W11 PWr, Wrocław, 2018-2021.
  Principal Investigator: Paweł Zieliński
  Investigator: Adam Kasperski
  [budget: 415 800 PLN]
• Segmentation of electrical energy consumers using the stage-change model: Analysis of factors enhancing adoption of demand side management tools, grant NCN 2016/23/B/HS4/00650, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2017-2020
  Principal Investigator: Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
  [budget: 261 300 PLN]
• Determinants of green energy acceptance among residential consumers in Poland, grant NCN 2017/01/X/HS4/00246, MINIATURA grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2017-2018
  Principal Investigator: Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska
  [budget: 35 090 PLN]
• Structural analysis of wholesale electricity market with SVAR models: Assessment of effects of renewable energy sources on the level and variability of electricity prices, grant NCN 2016/21/D/HS4/00515, SONATA grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2017-2022
  Principal Investigator: Katarzyna Maciejowska
  [budget: 137 800 PLN]
• Simulation modeling of the demand for healthcare services, grant NCN 2015/17/B/HS4/00306, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2016-2019
  Principal Investigator: Bożena Mielczarek
  [budget: 268 980 PLN]
• Probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices and demand for risk management purposes, grant NCN 2015/17/B/HS4/00334, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2016-2019
  Principal Investigator: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 398 400 PLN]
• Economic consequences of consumer opinion formation and decision making: Agent-based modeling of innovation diffusion, grant NCN 2013/11/B/HS4/01061, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2014-2017
  Principal Investigator: Rafał Weron
  Investigators (among others): Grzegorz Chodak, Anna Kowalska-Pyzalska, Katarzyna Maciejowska
  [budget: 499 700 PLN]
• Averaging forecasts of wholesale electricity prices, grant NCN 2013/11/N/HS4/03649, PRELUDIUM grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2014-2016
  Principal Investigator: Jakub Nowotarski
  Research supervisor: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 115 500 PLN]
• Algorithms for robust discrete optimization, grant NCN 2013/09/B/ST6/0152, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2013-2017.
  Principal Investigator: Adam Kasperski
  [budget: 395 460 PLN]
• The analysis and modelling of visual data processing in human – machine interaction, grant NCN 2011/03/B/ST8/06238, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2012-2015.
  Principal Investigator: Jerzy Grobelny
  Senior Investigator: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 195 390 PLN]
• A study on portfolio optimization in different time horizons using multivariate econometric models, evolutionary techniques and artificial intelligence, DIAMOND GRANT 0178/DIA/2012/41 MNiSW, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2012-2015
  Principal Investigator: Paweł Maryniak
  Research supervisor: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 142 221 PLN]
• Simulation methods and computer simulation models in healthcare management, grant NCN 2011/01/B/HS4/01061, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2011-2014
  Principal Investigator: Bożena Mielczarek
  [budget: 114 800 PLN]
• Simple spin models in applications to social and commercial marketing, grant NCN 2011/01/B/ST3/00727, OPUS grant scheme, IFT UWr, Wrocław, 2011-2014
  Principal Investigator: Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron
  Senior Investigator: Rafał Weron
  [budget: 248 100 PLN]
• Modeling and forecasting wholesale electricity prices using regime-switching models, grant NCN 2011/01/B/HS4/01077, OPUS grant scheme, W8 PWr, Wrocław, 2011-2014
  Principal Investigator: Rafał Weron
  Investigators (among others): Katarzyna Maciejowska, Jakub Nowotarski
  [budget: 329 600 PLN]